Tuesday, February 26, 2013

When reason no longer makes sense


I think I can remember a basketball season in which Hillsboro High had the talent to go all the way to State. In the subs, I think it was Hesston that came into the Tabor gym and played ‘stall ball.’ Going to the basket was not part of their game. I still have this image of Paul Schultz trying to bring the ball up from backcourt, the realization on his face that time had run out.

Politics has become something like that.

Reasonable people are realizing to varying degrees that the political game as it is being played is no longer about demonstrable facts and reasonable arguments leading to compromises in which everyone gets something. But reasonable people are reluctant to give up trying to making good arguments, because that has generally been the best way to maximize outcomes for the most people.

Coming up with a clear and elegant way to explain, for example, how Social Security works and can be viable indefinitely without being an essential part of our nation’s debt problem has theoretical merit, and it might even have a practical impact in restoring confidence and understanding in the system – but, and this is my argument – but not in the current political environment. Reason has lost its traction.

Now there is nothing wrong with these academic exercises, but until our political system gets a rule change similar to a shot clock in basketball, it’s going to be maximum stall ball.

In my opinion, two key things must change before anything else (i.e. rational discourse) will matter much. The rules themselves have sidelined rational politics. Gerrymandering, especially, which leads to more and more extremist politicians, wiping out the moderates, and various procedural rules such as the filibuster which allow an extreme minority, even one senator, to block any legislative efforts, are key problems. Somehow, the basic rules of the game must be changed.

Second, the media is locked into an ‘objective’ mindset, in which they refuse to report clearly when one side is essentially manufacturing the facts or is distorting reality. They fear that they, the media, will be labeled ‘partisan.' Of course, columnists, and their direct opinions, are already in a sense dismissed by the other side because they are easily labeled ‘partisan.’ Catch-22. How could the media gain a sense that truth and reality are not evenly distributed among the teams and the players and that they should call them as they see them? But if they do, and it’s routinely the same team getting whistled, what then? Half the paying crowd cheers for one side or the other.

In the case of Social Security and basic debt questions, I believe that many politicians and journalists already understand what they find themselves helpless to speak and act clearly about. The ones that don’t, aren’t interested in reason, they are only interested in reducing the cost of Social Security to their side.

What can break this kind of logjam? I don’t know. Maybe a clear and elegant explanation about how and why politics barely works at all now. But I doubt it.

Italy actually teeters on the edge of bankruptcy, and they aren’t fixing their political system.

Near scientific unanimity that carbon emissions will tilt the climate is still not enough consensus to get any movement toward changing actual behavior in the U.S.

Our highly concentrated financial system remains largely unaffected by the recent collapse.

I suppose you could argue that if only people would listen to reason … except I see little evidence that enough of them do that often enough.

Just speaking of Kansas, I think the first step would be for most Democrats and moderate Republicans to formally declare the formation of a Moderate Republican party to try and change the balance of power. The likelihood of being able to explain to most Kansas Republican voters that voting Republican means voting against their own interests appears unlikely to me as a strategy.

What could change the game? At some point reasoned thinking should matter, but I don’t see how at this point. And I don’t really know what else would actually work.

Expect more stall ball.

2 comments:

MarkJost said...

This will be a boring response because I pretty much agree with what you said. I hate to sound partisan, but the extreme right wing has become so obsessed with an unworkable ideology that I expect them to declare any day now that math, reason, logic and science are "liberal" biases and should be rejected by right-thinking people. Case in point, I saw quote awhile back from the Texas GOP that critiqued the teaching of critical thinking in schools because it challenged fixed beliefs and caused students to question parental authority. Sheesh. Of course, few people actually like critical thinking when it's practiced, but to just come out and say so …?

Anyway. I remember the Hesston game you talked about. (It caused bad feelings between Hesston and Hillsboro for years.) Will stall ball work in our case? I'd like to think so, but I'm not convinced anything will. There's a famous saying about how evil people have the courage of their convictions while good people seem paralyzed. That's the way I been feeling lately. It's doubly frustrating because many of the people who hold ridiculous beliefs are reasonably intelligent 80% of the time. But the other 20% …

Stalling all bothers me because it seems to undermine our political system too--kind of like the Hesston game (in its own small way) damaged the spirit of basketball. But what choice to we have? I don't know. How long will we have to stall? Maybe until all the icebergs have melted and Topeka has beachfront property. In other words, until it's too late.

Bert Haverkate-Ens said...

I was implying that stalling is primarily the Republican tactic, even to the extreme of blocking appointments to government positions (and then blaming Democrats for government not working). No actual solutions to problems have been offered by Republicans, except the problem of 'high taxes' for which the answer is more cutting.

The exception, as Mike pointed out, Democrats can protect Social Security by resisting any 'fixes.' You can assume that the Republicans will charge the Democrats with playing 'stall ball.'

Amazing that a 'mere' basketball game can remain seared in memory as that one is. Maybe really only a scorch mark.